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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

SMEE44%
Naura31%
Nata30%
and 1 other

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services8%
Microsoft Azure7%
and 1 other

What will the combined sector weighting of Information Technology and Communications be, in the S&P 500 on 2030-01-01?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

47.1

Leverage AI-centric to AGI and ASI-centric beyond Moore's Law

no comments0
AI Progress Essay Contest

Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025?

resultNo

Will a Chinese-made ArFi lithography machine be used in volume production anywhere before 2028?

68%chance

Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033?

78.6%chance

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?

32%chance

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm49.4%