Question Feed | Metaculus

Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Health & Pandemics

Computing and Math

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Sports & Entertainment

🧑‍🤝‍🧑

Social Sciences

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Cryptocurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Respiratory Outlook June Update: New World Screwworm Enters the US

3

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

result: no

9

83

83 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Pandemic series: a new Spanish Flu?

9% chance

15

180

180 forecasters

9%chance

Will there be any human cases of the novel coronavirus, HKU5-CoV-2, before July 1, 2025?

result: no

78

78 forecasters

ResolvedNo

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

17

17 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

-1

15

15 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

12

12 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

14

14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

14

14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

14

14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

2

2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

1

1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

1

1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

2

2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

2

2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

3

3 forecasters

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

result: no

13

73

73 forecasters

ResolvedNo

Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022?

result: yes

11

98

98 forecasters

ResolvedYes

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

>29 Nov 2022 (31 Oct 2022 - >29 Nov 2022)

9

51

51 forecasters

Resolved25 May 2022 21:52 UTC

Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?

4.12 (3.98 - 9.75)

13

90

90 forecasters

Resolved12

How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?

2.04M (1.52M - 2.91M)

172

270 270 comments

546

546 forecasters

Resolved5.07822M

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

19

152

152 forecasters