• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Services
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Discover
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ’ฌ
Top Comments
๐Ÿ’ก
Comments Feed
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
โš™๏ธ
Labor Hub
๐Ÿฆพ
FutureEval
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
US Midterms
โš”๏ธ
Metaculus Cup
๐Ÿ’ฅ
Iran War
โ“
Top Questions
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
Current Events
๐Ÿ’ผ
Economy & Business
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
Politics
๐ŸŒ
Geopolitics
โš™๏ธ
Technology
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐Ÿ’ป
Computing and Math
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
Elections
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Natural Sciences
๐Ÿ€
Sports & Entertainment
โš–๏ธ
Law
๐Ÿš€
Space
๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘
Social Sciences
๐Ÿ”ฎ
Metaculus
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿ’ฐ
Cryptoยญcurrencies

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestionsTournamentsTournaments for AI botsFutureEval
ServicesLaunch a TournamentPrivate InstancesPro Forecasters
CompanyAboutCareersFAQ
ResourcesForecasting ResourcesFor JournalistsAPI
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

6868 comments
17
17 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

-1
7777 comments
15
15 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

5656 comments
12
12 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

7070 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

7070 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

6363 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

33 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

22 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

22 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

44 comments
3
3 forecasters

Will "best practice" in treating Coronavirus involve administering Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?

result: no

21
3535 comments
89
89 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?

result: no

10
1313 comments
83
83 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

result: no

13
1818 comments
73
73 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

>29 Nov 2022 (31 Oct 2022 - >29 Nov 2022)

9
5353 comments
51
51 forecasters
Resolved25 May 2022 21:52 UTC

Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?

4.12 (3.98 - 9.75)

13
2525 comments
90
90 forecasters
Resolved12

How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?

2.04M (1.52M - 2.91M)

172
270270 comments
546
546 forecasters
Resolved5.07822M

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

19
55 comments
152
152 forecasters

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

13
44 comments
91
91 forecasters

How many infections of SARS-CoV-2 (novel coronavirus) will be estimated to have occurred worldwide, before 2021?

620M (331M - 1.02B)

47
4747 comments
179
179 forecasters
Resolved1.221759132B

If the total estimated number of novel coronavirus cases before 2021 exceeds 100 million, how many people will die before January 1, 2021?

2.89M (1.13M - 7.67M)

8
2424 comments
66
66 forecasters
Resolved5.673571M