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What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae58%
Other 24 known HIVF25%
Coronaviridae15%
and 1 other

By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?

resultNo

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

30%chance

Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?

resultNo

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

resultNo

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae 45.3%
Other 24 known HIVF 21.7%
Coronaviridae 20.8%
and 1 other

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae 43.5%
Other 24 known HIVF 23.9%
Coronaviridae 19.8%
and 1 other

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae 41.7%
Other 24 known HIVF 22.1%
Coronaviridae 21.2%
and 1 other

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae 42.7%
Other 24 known HIVF 21.1%
Coronaviridae 21.1%
and 1 other

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

This question is closed for forecasting.
Latest Community predictions were:

Orthomyxoviridae 46.3%
Other 24 known HIVF 20.8%
Coronaviridae 19.6%
and 1 other