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Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

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[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

6868 comments
17
17 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

-1
7777 comments
15
15 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

5656 comments
12
12 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

7070 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

7070 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

6363 comments
14
14 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

33 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

11 comment
1
1 forecaster

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

22 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

22 comments
2
2 forecasters

[PRACTICE] What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

44 comments
3
3 forecasters

Will "best practice" in treating Coronavirus involve administering Vitamin D before the end of the pandemic?

result: no

21
3535 comments
89
89 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will the UK's NHS recommend Vitamin D supplementation as a protective measure against coronavirus before the end of the pandemic?

result: no

10
1313 comments
83
83 forecasters
ResolvedNo

Will a novel pathogen be identified as responsible for the pneumonia reported in Beijing or Liaoning before December 15, 2023?

result: no

13
1818 comments
73
73 forecasters
ResolvedNo

When will the US pass 1 million cumulative COVID deaths?

>29 Nov 2022 (31 Oct 2022 - >29 Nov 2022)

9
5353 comments
51
51 forecasters
Resolved25 May 2022 21:52 UTC

Which month of 2021 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?

4.12 (3.98 - 9.75)

13
2525 comments
90
90 forecasters
Resolved12

Will a single novel SARS-CoV-2 variant that is at least 30% more transmissible than preexisting variants infect 10M worldwide before mid-2021?

result: yes

34
5353 comments
201
201 forecasters
ResolvedYes

How many people will die as a result of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) before 2021?

2.04M (1.52M - 2.91M)

172
270270 comments
546
546 forecasters
Resolved5.07822M

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

19
55 comments
152
152 forecasters

Before 2032, will these pan-coronavirus vaccine candidates be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

13
44 comments
91
91 forecasters

How many infections of SARS-CoV-2 (novel coronavirus) will be estimated to have occurred worldwide, before 2021?

620M (331M - 1.02B)

47
4747 comments
179
179 forecasters
Resolved1.221759132B