Question Feed | Metaculus

Topics

🗳️

US Democracy Index

❓

Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye)

78.4%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

92 forecasters

Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel)

15%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

92 forecasters

Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States)

6.2%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

0 comments

11 forecasters

When will Pope Leo XIV cease to be pope?

Current estimate

Jun 2041

2 comments

16 forecasters

Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025?

Ukraine7%

Peru7.5%

Israel10%

Contributed by the Brown University Forecasting Team community.

1 comment

10 forecasters

Who will be the next Pope?

Otherresult: Yes

Pietro Parolin23.3%

Luis Antonio Tagle19.6%

9 comments

49 forecasters

Who will be the next Pope?

Otherresult: Yes

Pietro Parolin24.6%

Luis Antonio Tagle20%

51 comments

150 forecasters

When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?

community

20 May 2025

result

08 May 2025 16:00

5 comments

2 forecasters

When will Pope Benedict XVI be canonized?

Current estimate

Mar 2059

15 comments

64 forecasters

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

1%chance