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5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
Wei Yi99.9%
Javokhir Sindarov99.9%

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11
11 comment
0 comments
27 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach β‰₯4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
18 forecasters

Will the habeas corpus be suspended for any group of people within the United States in any of the following years?

0 comments
11 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

1 comment
7 forecasters

Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
7 comments
30 forecasters

Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?

Clair Obscur: Expedition 33Upcoming
Death Stranding 2: On the BeachUpcoming
Donkey Kong BananzaUpcoming

Key Factors

1 comment
15 forecasters

How many chlorination grants will GiveWell recommend after September 20, 2024, and before January 1, 2026?

6 or more41.1%
420.2%
520.2%
20 comments
48 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

10%chance

Key Factors

0 comments
6 forecasters

[Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days