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14 forecasters

In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

0 comments
12 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach β‰₯4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments
16 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

0 comments
15 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

0 comments
10 forecasters

Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?

45 comments
166 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
08 Aug 2029
2 comments
5 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

30%chance
55% today
0 comments
7 forecasters

How many countries from the list below will establish space agencies or dedicated space programs specifically focused on addressing climate change and sustainable development before 2026?

Current estimate
1.02 countries
5 comments

Will Russia have an AI data center with >10,000 H100e before 2027?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days