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US Democracy Index

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1 1 comment

0 comments

19 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

0 comments

10 forecasters

Will the habeas corpus be suspended for any group of people within the United States in any of the following years?

0 comments

9 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

0 comments

6 forecasters

Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states?

GeorgiaUpcoming

IowaUpcoming

MaineUpcoming

13 comments

37 forecasters

Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?

19%chance

Key Factors

2 comments

10 forecasters

Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?

Trump files a lawsuit in the USA onlyUpcoming

Trump files a lawsuit in the UK onlyUpcoming

Trump files a lawsuit in both the USA and the UKUpcoming

4 comments

3 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jararesult: No

José Antonio Kastresult: Yes

Evelyn Mattheiresult: No

6 comments

2 forecasters

When will a space-based data center first become operational?

Current estimate

Revealed

in 3 days

Key Factors

6 comments

32 forecasters

In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?

1960s or earlierUpcoming

1970sUpcoming

1980sUpcoming

Key Factors