MetaculusM

Questions
Tournaments

Leaderboards
News
create

Bridgewater 2025

AI Benchmarking

Topics

categories

See all categories

About
API

FAQ
forecasting resources
For Journalists

Careers

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

879 forecasters

Revealed

13

Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?

674 forecasters

Revealed

9

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025?

625 forecasters

Revealed

20

Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?

728 forecasters

Revealed

16

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026?

573 forecasters

Revealed

18

Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?

518 forecasters

Revealed

11

Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?

496 forecasters

Revealed

5

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

531 forecasters

Revealed

6

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025?

529 forecasters

Revealed

17

Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026?

486 forecasters

Revealed

6