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When will a West Balkan state next join the EU?
2029-11-23
42 forecasters
10
9 comments
9
Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?
48%
107 forecasters
13
69 comments
69
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
2031-11-18
42 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Alt-Protein Tournament
Will Hungary leave the EU before 2030?
5%
90 forecasters
12
18 comments
18
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
8.5%
367 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
16%
376 forecasters
45
74 comments
74
Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
40%
50 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?
Resolved :
No
33%
67 forecasters
10
15 comments
15
Before 8 September 2018, will the UK request an extension to Article 50 for leaving the EU?
Resolved :
No
1%
74 forecasters
7
7 comments
7
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Will there be rioting in the UK or Gibraltar if the UK leaves the EU on 29 March 2019?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
50%
75 forecasters
4
11 comments
11
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