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Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?
2%
43 forecasters
6
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?
1%
120 forecasters
11
34 comments
34
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Antifa officially be labeled a terrorist group in the US before 2022?
Resolved :
No
1%
222 forecasters
7
39 comments
39
Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7?
Resolved :
No
44%
92 forecasters
22
72 comments
72
Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?
42.1%
49 forecasters
3
19 comments
19
When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?
2052
14 forecasters
5
2 comments
2