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0
comments
16
forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
1
comment
18
forecasters
Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?
5
comments
6
forecasters
Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)
99%
chance
19%
today
3
comments
34
forecasters
When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?
Current estimate
14 Nov 2025 20:16
45
comments
170
forecasters
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
Current estimate
16 Mar 2029
4
comments
47
forecasters
How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?
Current estimate
74.4 People
Key Factors
UK has received 57 people under the deal
94 migrants already sent to France, the number keeps increasing
5
comments
8
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
Anish Giri
99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura
99.8%
18 others
1
comment
32
forecasters
Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?
98.1%
chance
34.1%
this week
2
comments
8
forecasters
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?
40%
chance
45%
this week
26
comments
64
forecasters
What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?
Current estimate
0.855 °C
Key Factors
Expectation to be below 2023 and 2024
Current trend is going towards higher values, November is likely to start over 0.6
Past two years had El Niño warming impact
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