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Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?
73%
82 forecasters
6
22 comments
22
Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
41.05%
2 or 3
38.48%
4 or 5
12.86%
3 others
8
2 comments
2
Future of AI
Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?
2026
63%
2030
40%
2036
29%
9
6 comments
6
Future of AI
Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models?
Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus
5%
Google DeepMind / Gemini 2 Ultra
5%
OpenAI / GPT-5
3%
20
34 comments
34
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
75%
77 forecasters
4
2 comments
2
Regulation of AI
How many State of AI Report 2021 predictions will be judged true by their authors in the 2022 report?
Resolved :
3
3.07
31 forecasters
5
20 comments
20
The Westinghouse Contingency
3
5 comments
5
AI Progress Essay Contest
What will be the total venture capital funding (in USD) for Anthropic, Adept, Character, Inflection, Conjecture, Cohere, & Huggingface on June 30, 2023?
Resolved :
4.19B
4.05B
34 forecasters
9
22 comments
22
Business of AI
Will Anthropic launch a Large Language Model at the following levels of access before Sept 30, 2023?
Partially Open
Ambiguous
Public
Yes
7
20 comments
20
Business of AI
Will Claude outrank Bard worldwide on Google Trends as of April 4, 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
50%
48 forecasters
3
12 comments
12
🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
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