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In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset?

resultYes

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind50%
Microsoft25%
Meta14%
and 14 others

On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?

On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?

resultNo

On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?

On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's?

Apple virtual/augmented reality by 2020?

resultNo

Of the top 10 AI companies, how many will pledge not to develop lethal autonomous weapons?

result2

When the first company reaches a $4 trillion market cap, will it be worth at least double what it was the year before?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

44%chance

Will Tesla become the world's most valuable publicly-traded company before 2023?

resultNo