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When will the RSA-2048 challenge number be factorized by a quantum computer?

Dec 2032

Monitor AI’s Expansion Across Society With the AI Diffusion Index

1
no comments0

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will OpenAI surpass 15 million business users before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Contributed by the AI Diffusion Community community.

Will the unemployment rate for recent college graduates in the United States rise to 20% or more for three months before 2030?

Forecast revealed in 5 days

Market Pulse 25Q3 Opens: Will Q2’s Edge Hold?

5
no comments0
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3

Will legislation pass before 2029 that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest income bracket?

75%chance
55.5% this week

Suggest questions for the Metaculus Cup

5
15 comments15
Metaculus Cup

Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?

Forecast revealed next week

What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies?

AAPL92.4B
AMD7.48B
META44B
and 2 others

Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days