• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
๐Ÿ‘ฅ
Communities
๐Ÿ†
Leaderboards
Topics
๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
US Democracy Index
โ“
Top Questions
โณ
AI 2027
๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ
In the News
๐Ÿฆพ
AI Forecasting Benchmark
๐Ÿ“ˆ
Indexes
๐Ÿ’Ž
Metaculus Cup
๐ŸŒ
AI Pathways
๐Ÿ›๏ธ
POTUS Predictions
categories
๐Ÿฆ 
Health & Pandemics
๐ŸŒฑ
Environment & Climate
โ˜ข๏ธ
Nuclear Technology & Risks
๐Ÿค–
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
5 comments
12 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Hikaru Nakamura99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
0 comments
3 forecasters

Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Jeannette Jara25%
Josรฉ Antonio Kast38%
Evelyn Matthei15%
1 comment
20 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

0 comments
19 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. presidentโ€™s net worth reach โ‰ฅ4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

5 comments
9 forecasters

Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?

80%chance
47% this week
1 comment
13 forecasters

Will the Trump administration release the Epstein Files before January 20, 2029?

33%chance
16 comments
37 forecasters

What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?

Current estimate
1892 deaths
4 comments
1 forecaster

How much will using AI add to (or subtract from) the time it takes developers to do a task, in METR's second impact study?

Current estimate
3.41%
2 comments
10 forecasters

Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?

40%chance
45% this week
128 comments
288 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

48%chance

Key Factors