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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
5
5
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
37
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
10
1
1
comment
6
comments
103
forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi
68.3%
Qatar
29.6%
Las Vegas
2%
1 other
0%
9
comments
88
forecasters
Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?
58%
chance
12
comments
87
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLA
result:
0.39
$
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.77
4 others
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.1%
3
comments
58
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
32.7%
OpenAI
23.2%
Anthropic
18%
3 others
26%
6
comments
45
forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
14.8 pp
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
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