Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Which car brand will have the highest owner satisfaction rating, according to the 2024 Consumer Reports Annual Auto Survey?
Rivian
Yes
Porsche
No
BMW
No
5 others
2
2 comments
2
What will Tesla's market capitalization be on January 1, 2030?
1.49k
100 forecasters
21
37 comments
37
Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?
55%
90 forecasters
12
22 comments
22
In what year will half of new cars sold in the US be fully autonomous?
Closed
2031-12-09
242 forecasters
54
16 comments
16
AI Progress Essay Contest
How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2020?
Resolved :
3.18M
3.23M
54 forecasters
7
10 comments
10
How many new electric vehicles will be registered worldwide, in the calendar year 2023?
Resolved :
14.8M
12.4M
45 forecasters
8
9 comments
9
[Short fuse]: Will Tesla's stock price close below $1,000 per share before 2021?
Resolved :
No
40%
40 forecasters
12
23 comments
23