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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2 comments
36 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
9 comments
87 forecasters

Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?

58%chance
3 comments
41 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.1%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
6 comments
103 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi67.2%
Qatar30.1%
Las Vegas2.6%
99 comments
296 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

40%chance
5% this week
11 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

TSLAresult: 0.39 $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.77
3 comments
57 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet30.3%
OpenAI23.8%
Anthropic18.1%