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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

3
0 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
5 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

R Praggnanandhaa99.9%
Anish Giri99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura95%

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

12
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
0 comments
6 forecasters

When will a synthetic biology platform effectively degrade pesticides in field conditions?

Current estimate
Dec 2035
9 comments
42 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

9 comments
24 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
1 comment
40 forecasters

Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?

resultYes
7 comments
60 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 4 days
2 comments
3 forecasters

Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?

Bridget PhillipsonUpcoming
Lucy PowellUpcoming
Someone elseUpcoming