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Will the following countries be part of the European Union in 2050?
Montenegro
95%
North Macedonia
83.5%
Albania
81%
17 others
23
51 comments
51
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
1%
928 forecasters
96
67 comments
67
Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?
1%
274 forecasters
28
60 comments
60
Will the London housing market deflate in 2017?
Resolved :
No
40%
58 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?
Resolved :
Yes
30%
47 forecasters
10
14 comments
14
Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: what will the Metaculus community predict about Brexit?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
35%
32 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Is market volatility set to strongly increase?
Resolved :
No
25%
33 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?
Resolved :
No
33%
67 forecasters
10
15 comments
15
Will the Pound be equal to or less than the Dollar by Dec. 30, 2017.
Resolved :
No
22%
97 forecasters
2
8 comments
8
Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?
Resolved :
No
33%
44 forecasters
5
6 comments
6
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