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12 forecasters

In the following years, will the DOJ decline to act on a criminal contempt referral of a current or former executive official who served under the sitting president?

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10 forecasters

Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?

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15 forecasters

Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?

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14 forecasters

Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?

45 comments
166 forecasters

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Current estimate
05 Sep 2029
0 comments
14 forecasters

Will two or more losing major-party candidates for governor or U.S. Senator in competitive races refuse to concede defeat in the following general elections?

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46 forecasters

Will a SCOTUS decision weakening donor disclosure rules for political spending or electioneering communications be good law in the following years?

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

12
66 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2
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13 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the Senate after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
1.46 seats
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13 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
-3.81 seats