2 comments
35 forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
3 comments
41 forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.1%
6 comments
103 forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi66.7%
Qatar29.9%
Las Vegas3%
3 comments
56 forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet29.7%
OpenAI25.8%
Anthropic17.3%
6 comments
44 forecasters
What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Current estimate
16.1 pp
10 comments
86 forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLAresult: 0.39 $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.77