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When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?
2025-04-15
789 forecasters
59
108 comments
108
Effective Institutions Project
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%
46 forecasters
6
2 comments
2
AI Safety
By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus?
2025:
1%
52 forecasters
10
16 comments
16
When will DeepMind Sparrow chatbot be available outside Alphabet?
2024-10-07
6 forecasters
3 comments
3
Business of AI
Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025?
5%
61 forecasters
6
4 comments
4
AI Safety
Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025?
0.2%
85 forecasters