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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?
8%
107 forecasters
8
6 comments
6
Biosecurity Tournament
Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?
Resolved :
Yes
167 forecasters
53
22 comments
22
Playing God Series
Will any (non-UK) European Union member state grant regulatory approval for clinical trials using human embryonic stem cells by the end of May?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
50 forecasters
6
10 comments
10
A medical pathway to complete painlessness?
Resolved :
No
260 forecasters
32
8 comments
8
Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?
Resolved :
No
149 forecasters
21
8 comments
8
Zapping Zika #5: Clinical trials of IFITM3-based therapies?
Resolved :
No
61 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Clinical trial of new treatment for sepsis?
Resolved :
Yes
58 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Ideas for clinical trials contest
17
15 comments
15
When will 10M people be administered a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :
Jan 30, 2021
272 forecasters
66
239 comments
239
Will NAD+ boosters be shown in a systematic review to increase human lifespan by >=5% by 2030?
5%
42 forecasters
10
6 comments
6
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