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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

9
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 10:03
1 comment
74 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

1%chance
35% this week
33 comments
168 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

55%chance
40% this week

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
4 comments
93 forecasters

How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025?

0 comments
4 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage (or disadvantage) vs Democrats in the Senate after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
1.3 seats
12 comments
113 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi72.5%
Qatar26.4%
Las Vegas1%