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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
2
2
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
12
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
4
comments
5
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
Anish Giri
99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura
95%
18 others
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
3
3
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
9
comments
43
forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
112
comments
127
forecasters
What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?
community
82.4%
result
83.139%
9
comments
24
forecasters
When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
1
comment
40
forecasters
Will Nepal swear in a new prime minister before September 20, 2025?
result
Yes
7
comments
61
forecasters
How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 4 days
2
comments
3
forecasters
Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?
Bridget Phillipson
Upcoming
Lucy Powell
Upcoming
Someone else
Upcoming
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