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Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?
4%
127 forecasters
16
17 comments
17
AI Safety
Will an attack on the US electric grid cause a significant power outage by end of 2018?
Resolved :
No
5%
119 forecasters
15
7 comments
7
How many cyberattacks by Iran against US Govt. systems in Q1 2020?
Resolved :
4
9.38
39 forecasters
7
27 comments
27
[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?
Resolved :
No
58%
121 forecasters
13
39 comments
39
Will there be a successful cyberattack on the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
Resolved :
No
25.7%
79 forecasters
3
10 comments
10
White Hat Cyber
Will a cyberattack directly cause one or more deaths in 2022?
Resolved :
No
16%
59 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
White Hat Cyber
Will any single cyberattack in 2022 result in damages over $10 billion?
Resolved :
No
1%
61 forecasters
6
5 comments
5
White Hat Cyber
Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023?
Resolved :
No
20%
38 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
White Hat Cyber
Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwanโs electricity infrastructure before 2030?
55%
36 forecasters
4
5 comments
5
The Taiwan Tinderbox