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Before 2030, how many new AI labs will be leading labs within 2 years of their founding?
0 or 1
41.05%
2 or 3
38.48%
4 or 5
12.86%
3 others
8
2 comments
2
Future of AI
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
83%
49 forecasters
6
no comments
0
Regulation of AI
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
57%
63 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Regulation of AI
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
85%
145 forecasters
19
17 comments
17
Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?
Resolved :
No
62%
60 forecasters
11
10 comments
10
Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
33%
68 forecasters
3
19 comments
19
Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040?
5%
106 forecasters
24
28 comments
28
When will a biocomputer be able to perform an SHA-256 hash?
Dec 2045
18 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024?
Resolved :
No
1%
44 forecasters
3
2 comments
2
[short fuse] Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in 2022?
Resolved :
No
58%
121 forecasters
13
39 comments
39
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