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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

10
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
3 comments
5 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
11 Nov 2025
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 05:31
34 comments
169 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

40%chance
55% this week
1 comment
74 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

1%chance
36% this week
2 comments
75 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate
1.06 provinces

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
12 comments
113 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi74.3%
Qatar25.5%
São Paulo0.1%