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Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

12%chance

Key Factor

Textualist interpretation

Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2
no comments0
Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Will computer science and engineering see a greater percentage decrease (or smaller increase) in the number of enrolled international students in Trump's first year compared to other fields?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

What will the National Science Foundation’s budget be in these fiscal years?

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

Will any U.S. state experience a permanent population decline of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

4%chance
56% this week

What will the National Institutes of Health’s budget be in these fiscal years?

Will the number of new F-1 visas issued by the US to students from China or India decrease by >10% in FY 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will any part of California's Prop 12 or Related Measures be nullified before January 20th, 2029?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari in Kim Davis v. David Ermold et al before January 15, 2026?

75%chance
9% today

What will the National Science Foundation’s actual obligations be in these fiscal years?