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Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?
25%
1205 forecasters
25
62 comments
62
Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?
12.7%
147 forecasters
15
23 comments
23
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
54%
111 forecasters
10
10 comments
10
Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?
1%
80 forecasters
2
11 comments
11
Will AOC be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024, 2028, or 2032?
8%
176 forecasters
17
31 comments
31
Will the next elected U.S. President be (as usual) a white, Christian, non-Hispanic man?
Resolved :
Yes
10%
462 forecasters
33
36 comments
36
Will robotic/AI automation be essentially ignored in the primary races?
Resolved :
Yes
85%
53 forecasters
11
13 comments
13
Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Nominee?
Resolved :
No
10%
63 forecasters
5
9 comments
9
Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: What is the Metaculus community's prediction about Bernie Sanders?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
15%
53 forecasters
6 comments
6
Will the Democratic Party control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2017?
Resolved :
No
20%
135 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
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