Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🤖🔭
AI Benchmarking
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
Five
Yes
Six
No
Three or fewer
No
3 others
5
12 comments
12
Will the following years be the warmest year on record?
2024:
95%
70 forecasters
11
29 comments
29
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q3 - Average world temperatures will increase relative to 2018
Resolved :
Yes
84 forecasters
9
8 comments
8
Future Perfect 2019 Series
Will the average world temperature in 2020 be higher than in 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
172 forecasters
21
17 comments
17
Future Perfect 2020 Series
When will monthly global land-surface temperatures fall below record highs?
September 2024
Yes
After September 2024
No
April 2024
No
4 others
3
13 comments
13