Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🗽🗳️
US Election Stakes
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the European Union meet its 2030 targets under the Paris Climate Treaty?
18%
282 forecasters
28
28 comments
28
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
1%
932 forecasters
97
67 comments
67
When will a de-allergenized peanut, soy, or wheat-based product first be sold somewhere in the US or EU?
2031-11-26
41 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Alt-Protein Tournament
Will the EU rank above the US and China every year until 2030, according to the Climate Change Performance Index?
91%
31 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
Will Norway announce an official referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in September 2025?
14%
41 forecasters
2
3 comments
3
Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?
1%
275 forecasters
28
61 comments
61
Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?
8.5%
367 forecasters
37
25 comments
25
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?
16%
376 forecasters
45
74 comments
74
Will there be a war between two or more democratic countries before 2072?
60%
62 forecasters
12
41 comments
41
When will Germany legalize cannabis for recreational use?
2026-10-22
27 forecasters
8
15 comments
15
Load More