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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2 comments
37 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

4
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
0 comments
50 forecasters

Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?

64%chance
58% this week
1 comment
53 forecasters

Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?

13%chance
31% today
8 comments
104 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi68.4%
Qatar29.5%
Las Vegas2%
9 comments
92 forecasters

Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?

50%chance
8% today
13 comments
86 forecasters

What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?

Green14%
Purple11.5%
Blue10.8%
12 comments
87 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

TSLAresult: 0.39 $
AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.77