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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
8
4
4
comments
AI Pathways Tournament
2
comments
36
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
1
1
comment
9
comments
87
forecasters
Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?
58%
chance
6
comments
103
forecasters
Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?
Abu Dhabi
67.2%
Qatar
30.1%
Las Vegas
2.6%
1 other
0%
3
comments
41
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.1%
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
0
comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
99
comments
295
forecasters
Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?
40%
chance
5%
this week
11
comments
86
forecasters
What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?
TSLA
result:
0.39
$
AMD (annulled)
Annulled
AAPL
1.77
4 others
3
comments
57
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
30.3%
OpenAI
23.8%
Anthropic
18.1%
3 others
28%
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