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ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
2 comments
27 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

11
11 comment
3 comments
39 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
3 comments
52 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet30.8%
OpenAI24.2%
Anthropic17.6%

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
99 comments
292 forecasters

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

41%chance
2 comments
42 forecasters

Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?

50.4%chance
9.6% today
8 comments
63 forecasters

How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?

395%
44.6%
00.1%
8 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL1.75
AMD1.03
6 comments
86 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

AMD (annulled)Annulled
AAPL102B
AMD8.68B