Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will the US midterms be hacked?
Resolved :
No
45%
63 forecasters
11
17 comments
17
Will Hillary Clinton run for the office of President of the United States in 2020?
Resolved :
No
1%
184 forecasters
6
35 comments
35
How many electoral college votes will Donald Trump win in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Resolved :
232
223
162 forecasters
27
30 comments
30
What will voter turnout be for the US 2020 presidential election?
Resolved :
61.4
61
144 forecasters
21
47 comments
47
Academy Summer Series
Will voter turnout for the US 2020 presidential election be higher than 2016 by 2 percentage points or more?
Resolved :
Yes
85%
150 forecasters
16
40 comments
40
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election?
Resolved :
Yes
95%
331 forecasters
24
62 comments
62
Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024?
Resolved :
No
0.1%
194 forecasters
8
10 comments
10
Verity
What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic
48.3
Republican
49.8
Green
0.555
3 others
15
38 comments
38
When will the Democratic or Republican party nominee for US president receive fewer votes than a candidate not representing one of those parties?
2069-09-07
12 forecasters
1
5 comments
5
Will PEPFAR be extended before it expires on September 30th, 2023?
Full Extension (Five or More Years)
No
Short-Term Extension (Less Than Five Years)
No
1
5 comments
5
Load More