Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will a Fields medalist have spent at least a year trying AI safety research before the following years?
2036
24%
2030
20%
2026
1%
6
2 comments
2
Future of AI
Has Michael Atiyah possibly cracked the Riemann hypothesis?
Resolved :
No
8%
50 forecasters
11
38 comments
38
Will there be a female Fields Medalist in 2022?
Resolved :
Yes
51%
49 forecasters
7
9 comments
9
Will any Fields Medal winner boycott ICM 2022 for political reasons?
Resolved :
No
14%
60 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
Announcing the Future of AI Question Series
7
no comments
0