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Will 538 ace the 2016 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
39%
113 forecasters
3
26 comments
26
If a Republican announces that they will vote for impeachment, or votes for it, what will be the public support for impeachment at that time?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
55.1
30 forecasters
7
16 comments
16
Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?
Resolved :
No
46%
51 forecasters
9
17 comments
17
On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?
Resolved :
31.2
30.6
48 forecasters
6
6 comments
6
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
How many episodes of the FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast will be released in the run-up to the US 2020 presidential election?
Resolved :
44
40.2
39 forecasters
14 comments
14
Academy Summer Series
Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?
Resolved :
No
5%
94 forecasters
9
21 comments
21
Will Biden drop by at least 5 percentage points in the polls after the first debate?
Resolved :
No
13%
114 forecasters
11
37 comments
37
How will Trump's popular vote share compare to FiveThirtyEight's prediction?
Resolved :
1.78
0.453
62 forecasters
12
28 comments
28
Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?
Resolved :
Yes
76%
109 forecasters
14
51 comments
51
Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?
Resolved :
No
52%
115 forecasters
32
65 comments
65
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