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When will the FDA approve the first disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease?

5

Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?

Milk recall due to H5N1

US officials warn against drinking milk

Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk

4

Respiratory Outlook 2023/24

Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?

Resolved :No0.3%

435 forecasters

8

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

122 forecasters

20

When will beef for human consumption, from cattle genetically edited to carry a copy of the SRY gene, be for sale in the United States?

5

Animal Welfare Series

Will Theranos get more than 100 FDA approvals for blood tests by the end of 2018?

Resolved :No10%

3

Will there be more novel new drugs approved by the FDA in 2016 than in 2015?

Resolved :No29%

7

Will the FDA approve GMO mosquitos for widespread release?

Resolved :No32%

5

Will stage-3 trials of MDMA as a medical treatment be completed, with results submitted to the FDA, by 2021?

Resolved :No53%

149 forecasters

21

Zapping Zika #4: GMO Mosquitos in Puerto Rico?

Resolved :No43%

18