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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index

13
0 comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index

Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
6 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura99%
0 comments
5 forecasters

Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?

0 comments
5 forecasters

In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

4
1010 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
9 comments
46 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

11 comments
30 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 2 days
20 comments
252 forecasters

Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?

57%chance
48% this week