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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

11
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
3 comments
6 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
12 Nov 2025
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025 23:39

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
34 comments
173 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

35%chance
57% this week
2 comments
77 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

2%chance
35% this week
2 comments
80 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate
1.86 provinces
14 comments
92 forecasters

What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 51.242B $
MSFTresult: 77.673B $
TSLAresult: 28.095B $
15 comments
91 forecasters

What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies?

METAresult: 1.05 $
MSFTresult: 3.72 $
TSLAresult: 0.39 $