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Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

11
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
3 comments
6 forecasters

When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?

Current estimate
12 Nov 2025
2 comments
40 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025 01:31

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

6
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
34 comments
171 forecasters

Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?

35%chance
59% this week
1 comment
75 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

1%chance
35% this week
2 comments
79 forecasters

How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?

Current estimate
2.12 provinces

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
4 comments
94 forecasters

How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025?