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0
comments
13
forecasters
Will the sitting U.S. president’s net worth reach ≥4x its value before they were elected at any point in the following years?
1
comment
17
forecasters
Will any U.S. authority refuse to recognize the citizenship of U.S.-born children of non-citizen parents for 90 days in the following years?
1
comment
30
forecasters
Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?
97%
chance
42%
this week
0
comments
10
forecasters
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló be re-elected president of Guinea-Bissau in 2025?
88%
chance
51.9%
this week
3
comments
34
forecasters
When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?
Current estimate
15 Nov 2025 15:31
45
comments
169
forecasters
When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?
Current estimate
10 Jun 2029
5
comments
8
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.9%
Hikaru Nakamura
99.8%
18 others
2
comments
8
forecasters
Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO before 2027?
40%
chance
45%
this week
40
comments
195
forecasters
Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026?
19%
chance
36%
this week
Key Factors
Emanuel Clase betting scandal impact
Distinction between paid and unpaid
1
comment
13
forecasters
Before July 1, 2026, will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case that could end the constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
10%
chance
40%
this week
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