Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🔭
Bridgewater 2025
🤖
AI Benchmarking
📖
ACX 2025
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🐦🦠
H5N1 Bird Flu
🕊️🌐
Global Elections
⏳🌀
5 Years After AGI
🇮🇱🇵🇸
Gaza Conflict
🦠🩺
Mpox outbreak
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
categories
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
🧬
Health & Pandemics
🌎
Environment & Climate
☣️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
See all categories
Hot
Movers
New
More
Filter
Will Urbit development be ongoing in 2025?
Closed
60%
27 forecasters
6
1 comment
1
Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026?
10%
61 forecasters
5
7 comments
7
Regulation of AI
How many BIPs will be be approved and merged into bitcoin core in 2021?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
4.31
21 forecasters
3
7 comments
7
Substance is all you need.
2
1 comment
1
AI Progress Essay Contest
Will OpenAI offer a ChatGPT subscription for less than $25/month before July 1, 2023?
Resolved :
Yes
96.5%
61 forecasters
5
14 comments
14
Business of AI
Analysing Individual Contributions to the Metaculus Community Prediction
15
6 comments
6
When will an open-source software capable of tagging images and videos with 99% accuracy and processing images at a rate of at least one image per second on Orange Pi 5 be available?
2029-06-18
2 forecasters
1
1 comment
1
Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?
Resolved :
Annulled
84.5
2 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
Will Python still be most popular programming language at the end of 2030?
66%
41 forecasters
11
4 comments
4
Open Sourcing Metaculus
20
10 comments
10
Load More