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How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024?
21 to 100
87.87%
More than 100
11.83%
0
0.1%
2 others
7
96 comments
96
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025?
4.2%
110 forecasters
16
67 comments
67
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?
1.09
37 forecasters
8
49 comments
49
Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
condition
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025?
20 forecasters
if yes
if no
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
1%
1%
500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025?
0%
0%
1
no comments
0
Conditional Cup
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a โPublic Health Emergency of International Concernโ by the World Health Organization before 2030?
40%
22 forecasters
5
2 comments
2
Before 2025, will the following occur relating to pasteurized milk and avian influenza H5N1 in the United States?
Milk recall due to H5N1
0.9%
US officials warn against drinking milk
0.1%
Confirmed H5N1 infection from retail milk
0.1%
4