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Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?
Anthropic AI Claude, not optional
3%
OpenAI GPT-4, not optional
3%
OpenAI GPT-4, optional
1%
3 others
6
1 comment
1
Business of AI
Will Israel be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
78%
91 forecasters
11
25 comments
25
When will >50% of users access Google over IPv6?
2025-01-23
23 forecasters
6
12 comments
12
Will over 70% of internet traffic be encrypted by 2017?
Resolved :
No
60 forecasters
11
10 comments
10
Seeing single photons: more research to come?
Resolved :
Yes
28 forecasters
7
13 comments
13
When will the first 49+ qubit universal quantum computer be constructed?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
85 forecasters
25
17 comments
17
Will quantum computing "supremacyโ be achieved by 2025?
Resolved :
Yes
92 forecasters
23
32 comments
32
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
1.1ร10ยนโท
124 forecasters
41
43 comments
43
Will the mean year-over-year growth rate of the sum of teraflops in the TOP500 decline each 3-year period from 2025 to 2034?
47.2%
29 forecasters
5
no comments
0
Hutter Prize: At the end of 2022, what will be the best bits-per-character compression of a 1GB sample of Wikipedia?
Resolved :
0.923
40 forecasters
6
21 comments
21
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