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Will a non-state actor have acquired a nuclear weapon from a state by 2030?
2%
43 forecasters
6
no comments
0
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will a non-state actor develop their own nuclear weapon by 2030?
1%
120 forecasters
11
34 comments
34
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Will there be another terrorist attack causing more than 25 deaths in the United States before 2020?
Resolved :
No
25%
61 forecasters
8
12 comments
12
How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2022?
Resolved :
9
10.2
31 forecasters
4
11 comments
11
How many at-risk Nigerian states will experience Islamic State attacks from September 17, 2021 to September 17, 2023?
Resolved :
Ambiguous
10.5
26 forecasters
4
6 comments
6
An Advancing Islamic State in Nigeria?
16
4 comments
4