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Introducing the US Democracy Threat Index
13
0
comments
U.S. Democracy Threat Index
Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding
5
3
3
comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4
comments
6
forecasters
Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Anish Giri
99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa
99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura
99%
18 others
0
comments
5
forecasters
In the following years, will any U.S. state or the District of Columbia no longer have a previously existing anti-SLAPP law?
0
comments
5
forecasters
Will the U.S. government seek to revoke a naturalized citizen's citizenship for post-naturalization conduct in the following years?
Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup
4
13
13
comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025
9
comments
46
forecasters
Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?
0
comments
3
forecasters
Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?
11
comments
30
forecasters
When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 2 days
21
comments
252
forecasters
Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025?
60%
chance
51%
this week
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