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Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040?
Syria
81%
Haiti
70%
Mali
61%
70 others
30
82 comments
82
Will the following countries intervene military if there is a Second Korean War by 2050?
United States
93%
China
80%
Any EU country
64%
2 others
5
6 comments
6
Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?
Iran
67%
Saudi Arabia
13%
South Korea
12%
7 others
9
9 comments
9
If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?
60%
168 forecasters
17
33 comments
33
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition
Chinese volume production using EUV by 2033?
8 forecasters
if yes
if no
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
65%
65%
Chinese GDP Greater than US by 2041?
50%
50%
1
2 comments
2
Will Russia lose control of the Kuril Islands before 2028?
1%
78 forecasters
2
5 comments
5
If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?
80%
164 forecasters
30
48 comments
48
The Taiwan Tinderbox
What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years?
2122
91.8
2052
85.7
2032
82.2
2 others
11
7 comments
7
Forecasting Our World in Data
A is in the I of the beholder #3: it's beAIutiful!
Resolved :
No
48%
69 forecasters
4
13 comments
13
AI ambiguity Series
How much global photovoltaic energy generation will be deployed by end 2020?
Resolved :
738
848
109 forecasters
15
10 comments
10
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