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$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead

6
33 comments
AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament - 2025 Q2

Respiratory Outlook October Update: Forecasts for Flu, COVID-19, RSV, and Measles This Season

5
0 comments
Respiratory Outlook 2025/26
2 comments
38 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
04 Nov 2025
17 comments
143 forecasters

Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?

92%chance
88.7% this week
0 comments
3 forecasters

What will be the Republican advantage over Democrats in the House of Representantives after the 2026 elections?

Current estimate
-5.72 seats

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

10
22 comments
1 comment
70 forecasters

Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?

8%chance
38% this week
11 comments
112 forecasters

Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?

Abu Dhabi73.8%
Qatar25.1%
Las Vegas1%
9 comments
54 forecasters

Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025?

4%chance