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Report: Pro Forecasters Expect Steady NIH and NSF Funding

5
33 comments
Research Agencies Outlook
4 comments
5 forecasters

Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Anish Giri99.9%
R Praggnanandhaa99.8%
Hikaru Nakamura95%

Forecasting & commenting winners of the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup

3
88 comments
Metaculus Cup Summer 2025

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

8
33 comments
AI Pathways Tournament
0 comments
7 forecasters

Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to protect the President, his family, or his allies from a legal case in the following years?

0 comments
3 forecasters

Will a U.S. federal or state court prevent certification of any statewide election result in the following years because of foreign interference?

0 comments
2 forecasters

Will a U.S. state legislative or congressional map be used for the following general elections with a total population deviation between districts of ≥12%?

9 comments
43 forecasters

Will Russia invade another European country before the following years?

9 comments
27 forecasters

When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days
7 comments
65 forecasters

How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days