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How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season?
Five
Yes
Six
No
Three or fewer
No
3 others
5
12 comments
12
Will a massive solar storm occur before 2050?
31%
68 forecasters
19
11 comments
11
Verity
Will the US develop a new satellite for early-warning of severe geomagnetic storms?
Resolved :
Yes
125 forecasters
42
10 comments
10
Will 2019 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history?
Resolved :
No
87 forecasters
11
11 comments
11
What will the upper limit in the IPCC's โlikelyโ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?
Resolved :
4
38 forecasters
13
9 comments
9
Will the average world temperature in 2020 be higher than in 2019?
Resolved :
Yes
172 forecasters
21
17 comments
17
Future Perfect 2020 Series
What will the maximum increase in global annual mean surface air temperature be, relative to the 1951-1980 base period, in the 2020 to 2023 period?
Resolved :
1.17
36 forecasters
4
1 comment
1
What will the lower limit in the IPCC's โlikelyโ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 6th Assessment Report?
Resolved :
2.5
30 forecasters
2
4 comments
4
How many teragrams of black carbon will be injected into the upper troposphere as a result of the next nuclear conflict?
8.31
21 forecasters
4
9 comments
9
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
What will the product of the global mean temperature anomaly with the logarithm of GWP be in 2100?
5.49
2 forecasters
3
13 comments
13
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